We experienced a technical issue with the class recording partway through the session. While we were able to restart the recording, a brief segment was missed—specifically where we built out the probability range through the March expiration. That analysis is what led us to our price target for silver.
During the class, we discussed the unusually volatile conditions in the precious metals markets and initiated a new trade in SLV. While we expect volatility to remain elevated, we believe it will ultimately be lower than what is currently being priced into the options market.
In short, we anticipate a choppy path, but with prices finishing lower overall by the March expiration. The risk–reward–probability profile of this setup is favorable.
The trade is as follows:
Buy to open: SLV March 20th (monthly) 65.00 strike put (ratio of 1)
Sell to open: SLV March 20th (monthly) 55.00 strike put (ratio of 2)
Buy to open: SLV March 20th (monthly) 45.00 strike put (ratio of 1)
Debit: 2.00
Max risk = 2.00 or $200.00
Max reward = 8.00 or $800.00